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Red450
238689.0
4039116.5
4939106.2
Blue159
1360101.9
90791.4
638779.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302930100200400500600450159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.50.9
113.9114.9
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
red by 14.6
1360
#15
101.92.8
104.7101.9
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End41.9
Second
4939
#26
106.20.9
103.6104.5
Auto13.8
Teleop50.5
End41.9
red by 14.8
907
#7
91.42.8
94.291.4
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End43.2
Third
2386
#17
89.00.9
86.487.3
Auto9.9
Teleop45.6
End33.5
red by 9.0
6387
#14
79.92.8
82.879.9
Auto9.5
Teleop45.1
End25.3