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Red420
634284.1
490783.9
85497.6
Blue209
270297.0
133477.4
131095.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292284150200250350400450500420209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#13
97.60.4
100.8101.2
Auto14.4
Teleop37.2
End45.9
red by 0.6
2702
#29
97.01.4
97.095.7
Auto11.3
Teleop41.6
End44.0
Second
6342
#27
84.10.4
87.387.8
Auto10.7
Teleop40.3
End33.1
blue by 11.2
1310
#24
95.31.4
95.494.1
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
Third
83.90.4
87.187.5
Auto8.7
Teleop47.7
End27.5
red by 6.5
77.41.4
77.576.1
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End32.4