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Red350
2056147.7
85497.6
632383.2
Blue291
600992.4
131095.3
634284.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281256100200400500350291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.75.8
124.5130.3
Auto24.9
Teleop64.8
End58.0
red by 52.4
1310
#24
95.31.3
88.289.5
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
Second
854
#13
97.65.8
77.283.0
Auto14.4
Teleop37.2
End45.9
red by 5.2
6009
#11
92.41.3
84.685.9
Auto10.9
Teleop44.3
End37.1
Third
6323
#12
83.25.8
61.767.5
Auto7.9
Teleop47.4
End27.9
blue by 0.9
6342
#27
84.11.3
74.075.3
Auto10.7
Teleop40.3
End33.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
13%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed