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Red200
632383.2
451986.3
499271.5
Blue300
490249.9
495191.6
188117.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225221150200250300200300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#33
86.30.3
78.478.1
Auto15.8
Teleop32.6
End37.9
blue by 31.0
188
#6
117.35.3
107.7113.1
Auto19.0
Teleop56.7
End41.7
Second
6323
#12
83.20.3
67.567.2
Auto7.9
Teleop47.4
End27.9
blue by 8.5
4951
#25
91.65.3
67.673.0
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End51.4
Third
4992
#21
71.50.3
58.358.0
Auto3.9
Teleop29.8
End37.8
red by 21.6
4902
#41
49.95.3
44.449.8
Auto6.6
Teleop33.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed