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Red322
85497.6
5406112.0
540975.5
Blue307
2852102.2
632383.2
495191.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872540100200400500600700322307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.03.6
107.7111.3
Auto16.9
Teleop51.4
End43.8
red by 9.8
2852
#16
102.24.1
88.692.7
Auto18.5
Teleop48.4
End35.3
Second
854
#13
97.63.6
89.092.6
Auto14.4
Teleop37.2
End45.9
red by 5.9
4951
#25
91.64.1
81.485.5
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End51.4
Third
5409
#10
75.53.6
71.374.9
Auto7.9
Teleop37.4
End30.2
blue by 7.7
6323
#12
83.24.1
75.679.7
Auto7.9
Teleop47.4
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed