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Red255
490783.9
461877.6
188117.3
Blue210
451986.3
137454.8
77159.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2871780100400500255210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#6
117.30.3
113.0112.8
Auto19.0
Teleop56.7
End41.7
red by 31.0
4519
#33
86.31.7
79.781.5
Auto15.8
Teleop32.6
End37.9
Second
83.90.3
70.670.3
Auto8.7
Teleop47.7
End27.5
red by 24.4
771
#34
59.51.7
56.558.3
Auto4.9
Teleop38.1
End16.5
Third
4618
#36
77.60.3
75.375.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.1
End30.5
red by 22.8
1374
#38
54.81.7
47.649.4
Auto6.2
Teleop29.3
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed