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Red255
357161.3
600992.4
1360101.9
Blue357
451986.3
85497.6
4976124.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275318100200400500600255357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#15
101.90.8
108.5107.7
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End41.9
blue by 22.9
124.82.0
122.6124.6
Auto17.0
Teleop57.3
End50.5
Second
6009
#11
92.40.8
91.490.6
Auto10.9
Teleop44.3
End37.1
blue by 5.2
854
#13
97.62.0
92.694.6
Auto14.4
Teleop37.2
End45.9
Third
3571
#30
61.30.8
66.966.1
Auto6.2
Teleop28.5
End26.6
blue by 25.0
4519
#33
86.32.0
81.583.5
Auto15.8
Teleop32.6
End37.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed