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Red380
540975.5
600992.4
4039116.5
Blue306
499271.5
1360101.9
131095.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942830100200400500600700800380306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.51.5
108.9107.4
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
red by 14.6
1360
#15
101.92.4
107.7110.1
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End41.9
Second
6009
#11
92.41.5
90.689.1
Auto10.9
Teleop44.3
End37.1
blue by 2.9
1310
#24
95.32.4
94.797.1
Auto18.4
Teleop40.7
End36.2
Third
5409
#10
75.51.5
78.276.7
Auto7.9
Teleop37.4
End30.2
red by 4.0
4992
#21
71.52.4
68.170.4
Auto3.9
Teleop29.8
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed