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Red205
633943.0
607067.2
1360101.9
Blue265
495191.6
451986.3
613577.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224271100300400500205265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#15
101.90.9
106.7105.8
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End41.9
red by 10.3
4951
#25
91.60.9
89.290.1
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End51.4
Second
6070
#20
67.20.9
68.167.2
Auto8.8
Teleop35.8
End22.5
blue by 19.1
4519
#33
86.30.9
85.486.3
Auto15.8
Teleop32.6
End37.9
Third
6339
#40
43.00.9
43.943.0
Auto6.3
Teleop34.4
End2.3
blue by 34.7
6135
#19
77.70.9
76.877.7
Auto5.5
Teleop30.2
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed