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Red266
672588.2
2056147.7
188117.3
Blue456
4939106.2
4039116.5
238689.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400317100200500600266456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.72.0
149.0147.0
Auto24.9
Teleop64.8
End58.0
red by 31.2
116.51.0
114.9115.8
Auto15.3
Teleop58.0
End43.3
Second
188
#6
117.32.0
118.7116.6
Auto19.0
Teleop56.7
End41.7
red by 11.1
4939
#26
106.21.0
104.5105.5
Auto13.8
Teleop50.5
End41.9
Third
6725
#32
88.22.0
89.587.5
Auto8.6
Teleop41.1
End38.5
blue by 0.8
2386
#17
89.01.0
87.388.3
Auto9.9
Teleop45.6
End33.5