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Red165
375663.0
613070.9
503974.1
Blue212
285281.8
634792.8
481471.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2062700100300400500600165212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#14
74.10.9
72.871.9
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End18.4
blue by 18.6
92.80.8
93.492.6
Auto9.3
Teleop44.8
End38.8
Second
70.90.9
69.668.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End34.9
blue by 10.9
2852
#31
81.80.8
82.481.6
Auto10.2
Teleop48.6
End23.0
Third
3756
#27
63.00.9
61.660.8
Auto8.4
Teleop32.0
End22.6
blue by 8.2
4814
#18
71.20.8
71.871.1
Auto9.8
Teleop37.2
End24.2