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Red235
577653.9
2200109.0
293590.3
Blue255
503273.3
611079.9
548356.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782060100400500600235255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.00.4
109.4109.0
Auto18.0
Teleop44.0
End47.0
red by 29.1
79.91.1
78.379.4
Auto11.4
Teleop33.4
End35.0
Second
90.30.4
90.790.3
Auto8.6
Teleop47.1
End34.6
red by 17.0
5032
#15
73.31.1
71.872.9
Auto7.5
Teleop36.9
End28.9
Third
5776
#19
53.90.4
54.353.9
Auto5.0
Teleop35.0
End13.9
blue by 2.8
5483
#23
56.61.1
55.156.2
Auto3.6
Teleop32.1
End20.9