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Red150
587045.0
373942.1
613070.9
Blue185
293590.3
614047.2
375663.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1262030100300400150185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.91.0
52.953.8
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End34.9
blue by 19.4
90.30.1
79.879.9
Auto8.6
Teleop47.1
End34.6
Second
5870
#28
45.01.0
28.029.0
Auto3.6
Teleop34.1
End7.2
blue by 18.1
3756
#27
63.00.1
51.051.1
Auto8.4
Teleop32.0
End22.6
Third
3739
#35
42.11.6
49.551.1
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
blue by 5.0
6140
#21
47.20.1
52.252.4
Auto5.7
Teleop29.2
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed