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Red112
494332.7
481471.2
540958.6
Blue235
219866.7
605265.1
548356.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159163100120140180200220240112235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4814
#18
71.23.0
67.964.9
Auto9.8
Teleop37.2
End24.2
red by 4.5
2198
#29
66.75.7
48.053.7
Auto11.8
Teleop31.1
End23.8
Second
5409
#32
58.64.7
57.352.6
Auto6.6
Teleop33.1
End18.8
blue by 6.5
6052
#12
65.15.7
48.654.3
Auto7.4
Teleop37.7
End19.9
Third
4943
#33
32.74.7
31.727.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop21.4
End12.1
blue by 23.9
5483
#23
56.65.7
53.058.7
Auto3.6
Teleop32.1
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed