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Red320
613070.9
637895.8
634792.8
Blue205
607053.9
540958.6
503974.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561770100200300400320205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.84.8
86.591.3
Auto12.2
Teleop40.5
End43.0
red by 21.6
5039
#14
74.11.8
66.568.2
Auto11.5
Teleop44.2
End18.4
Second
92.84.8
86.190.9
Auto9.3
Teleop44.8
End38.8
red by 34.2
5409
#32
58.62.1
56.158.2
Auto6.6
Teleop33.1
End18.8
Third
70.94.8
60.265.0
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End34.9
red by 17.0
6070
#25
53.91.9
56.158.1
Auto8.2
Teleop28.5
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed