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Red305
496863.0
1305117.3
4678106.0
Blue240
4343100.5
6336102.7
354360.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300269100200400500600305240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.30.6
115.3115.8
Auto11.0
Teleop59.1
End47.3
red by 14.6
102.70.5
101.2100.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.4
End54.8
Second
106.00.6
104.0104.5
Auto14.7
Teleop43.0
End48.3
red by 5.6
100.50.5
99.098.4
Auto6.9
Teleop41.1
End52.4
Third
4968
#19
63.00.6
61.061.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.2
End29.4
red by 2.5
3543
#24
60.60.5
59.158.5
Auto9.1
Teleop34.2
End17.3