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Red325
496863.0
1305117.3
4678106.0
Blue310
4343100.5
6336102.7
354360.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304270100200400500325310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.30.9
116.4117.3
Auto11.0
Teleop59.1
End47.3
red by 14.6
102.71.0
101.7102.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.4
End54.8
Second
106.00.9
105.1106.0
Auto14.7
Teleop43.0
End48.3
red by 5.6
100.51.0
99.5100.5
Auto6.9
Teleop41.1
End52.4
Third
4968
#19
63.00.9
62.163.0
Auto8.5
Teleop25.2
End29.4
red by 2.5
3543
#24
60.61.0
59.660.6
Auto9.1
Teleop34.2
End17.3