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Red314
470471.1
4946106.3
201391.9
Blue255
270893.7
415286.1
184681.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862750100200400500600700314255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.31.0
106.5107.5
Auto11.4
Teleop41.7
End53.1
red by 12.5
2708
#10
93.70.2
94.294.0
Auto12.0
Teleop35.9
End45.8
Second
91.91.0
92.193.1
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End32.0
red by 5.8
86.10.2
86.686.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.8
End37.4
Third
4704
#20
71.11.0
71.472.3
Auto5.2
Teleop30.5
End35.4
blue by 10.1
1846
#15
81.30.2
81.781.6
Auto7.8
Teleop37.4
End36.1