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Red195
435765.2
354360.6
567277.5
Blue145
493280.9
565247.6
470471.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15214550100200250300195145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5672
#11
77.53.4
49.452.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.9
End39.3
blue by 3.4
4932
#12
80.90.4
77.978.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.6
End35.6
Second
4357
#18
65.23.4
43.346.7
Auto5.6
Teleop31.2
End28.4
blue by 5.9
4704
#20
71.10.4
47.447.8
Auto5.2
Teleop30.5
End35.4
Third
3543
#24
60.63.4
51.054.5
Auto9.1
Teleop34.2
End17.3
red by 13.0
5652
#23
47.60.5
13.213.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed