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Red250
496863.0
567277.5
4476110.0
Blue310
4343100.5
565247.6
107579.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21418750100150250300350250310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.03.4
88.792.1
Auto16.3
Teleop46.0
End47.7
red by 9.6
100.56.9
86.793.6
Auto6.9
Teleop41.1
End52.4
Second
5672
#11
77.53.4
55.859.1
Auto7.2
Teleop30.9
End39.3
blue by 1.7
1075
#14
79.26.9
69.276.1
Auto5.2
Teleop37.1
End36.9
Third
4968
#19
63.03.4
55.158.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.2
End29.4
red by 15.4
5652
#23
47.66.9
25.332.2
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed