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Red293
415286.1
491493.6
1305117.3
Blue190
107579.2
496863.0
583455.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921950100400500600293190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.31.9
111.8113.7
Auto11.0
Teleop59.1
End47.3
red by 38.2
1075
#14
79.20.5
76.175.6
Auto5.2
Teleop37.1
End36.9
Second
93.61.9
87.689.5
Auto7.3
Teleop44.4
End41.9
red by 30.6
4968
#19
63.00.5
64.263.6
Auto8.5
Teleop25.2
End29.4
Third
86.11.9
65.667.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.8
End37.4
red by 31.1
5834
#25
55.00.5
57.657.1
Auto4.0
Teleop28.6
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed