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Red311
447629.5
503673.1
368390.7
Blue245
299489.8
651369.4
542846.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1932240100300400500600311245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#13
90.72.7
88.891.6
Auto13.1
Teleop51.3
End26.3
red by 0.9
2994
#10
89.80.9
90.591.5
Auto10.2
Teleop34.1
End45.5
Second
73.13.1
70.974.0
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
red by 3.7
69.40.8
70.070.9
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End34.8
Third
4476
#40
29.52.7
27.530.3
Auto3.0
Teleop24.4
End2.1
blue by 17.1
5428
#16
46.60.8
47.248.1
Auto4.4
Teleop27.6
End14.7