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Red285
495177.8
220093.6
503673.1
Blue145
401533.7
611053.8
128587.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217167050100250300350400285145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.69.5
88.598.0
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End36.6
red by 5.6
87.92.3
77.875.5
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End39.1
Second
77.89.5
53.763.2
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End36.3
red by 24.0
6110
#11
53.82.3
46.744.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End23.9
Third
73.19.5
56.966.5
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
red by 39.4
4015
#39
33.72.3
41.339.0
Auto5.6
Teleop26.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed