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Red195
503166.1
494684.7
491475.9
Blue210
654477.5
503673.1
128587.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178227100200300400500195210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#15
84.72.1
62.664.8
Auto10.5
Teleop34.3
End39.8
blue by 3.2
87.92.7
75.572.8
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End39.1
Second
4914
#27
75.92.1
64.867.0
Auto5.8
Teleop33.9
End36.2
blue by 1.6
6544
#19
77.52.7
66.964.3
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End38.6
Third
5031
#21
66.12.1
48.250.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End37.6
blue by 7.0
73.12.7
66.563.8
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed