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Red160
201351.6
299489.8
540839.8
Blue255
495177.8
493983.1
651369.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621810100300400500160255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2994
#10
89.80.4
79.179.5
Auto10.2
Teleop34.1
End45.5
red by 6.7
4939
#18
83.19.6
48.257.7
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
Second
2013
#31
51.60.4
45.846.2
Auto5.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0
blue by 26.2
77.89.6
63.272.8
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End36.3
Third
5408
#29
39.80.4
31.331.8
Auto3.0
Teleop30.2
End6.6
blue by 29.6
69.49.6
57.767.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End34.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed