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Red255
78169.5
503673.1
368390.7
Blue305
107577.8
299489.8
493983.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231216100150200250300350400255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#13
90.73.6
93.897.4
Auto13.1
Teleop51.3
End26.3
red by 0.9
2994
#10
89.89.4
85.194.5
Auto10.2
Teleop34.1
End45.5
Second
73.13.9
69.573.4
Auto11.0
Teleop36.5
End25.6
blue by 10.0
4939
#18
83.19.4
63.072.4
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
Third
781
#26
69.53.6
54.257.8
Auto7.8
Teleop38.3
End23.4
blue by 8.3
1075
#14
77.89.4
59.468.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End46.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed