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Red190
493983.1
565213.2
567249.4
Blue265
493857.1
238665.1
491475.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351880100300400500190265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4939
#18
83.12.4
77.680.0
Auto12.4
Teleop44.4
End26.3
red by 7.2
4914
#27
75.96.9
70.177.0
Auto5.8
Teleop33.9
End36.2
Second
5672
#32
49.42.2
47.249.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.6
End19.6
blue by 15.7
2386
#28
65.17.6
51.759.3
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End28.7
Third
5652
#41
13.22.4
10.813.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.9
End-5.0
blue by 43.9
4938
#30
57.17.6
49.557.1
Auto7.4
Teleop33.6
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed