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Red515
1114127.3
613569.8
2056143.1
Blue235
491790.8
133450.1
260990.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042740100200500600700515235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.11.2
142.0143.2
Auto32.3
Teleop64.4
End46.5
red by 52.3
4917
#17
90.80.0
91.491.4
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End29.7
Second
127.31.2
126.2127.4
Auto29.2
Teleop52.5
End45.5
red by 36.7
90.60.0
91.291.2
Auto11.9
Teleop46.6
End32.2
Third
6135
#20
69.81.2
68.869.9
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End38.1
red by 19.7
1334
#24
50.10.0
50.750.7
Auto4.9
Teleop32.8
End12.3