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Qual 112017 STEMley Cup
Red218
491488.4
687841.1
3683100.5
Blue125
373950.6
467878.9
137439.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241190050100150300350218125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#5
100.50.6
94.5→93.8
Auto12.6
Teleop53.0
End34.9
red by 21.6
4678
#12
78.94.8
86.0→81.2
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End24.6
Second
4914
#6
88.40.6
95.1→94.4
Auto5.6
Teleop39.1
End43.7
red by 37.8
3739
#27
50.64.8
55.6→50.8
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End23.2
Third
6878
#23
41.11.1
33.0→31.9
Auto3.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
red by 1.3
1374
#30
39.74.8
45.7→40.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed