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Red334
1114127.3
1360100.6
86589.5
Blue284
613569.8
2056143.1
270288.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3523000100200400500600334284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.30.4
128.1128.5
Auto29.2
Teleop52.5
End45.5
blue by 15.8
143.10.5
147.3146.8
Auto32.3
Teleop64.4
End46.5
Second
1360
#15
100.60.4
107.0107.4
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End48.7
red by 12.1
2702
#19
88.40.5
84.383.8
Auto8.6
Teleop41.0
End38.8
Third
865
#9
89.50.4
92.793.1
Auto10.3
Teleop34.0
End45.3
red by 19.7
6135
#20
69.80.5
60.459.9
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
63%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
21%Pressure oddsEarned92%Pressure oddsEarned