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Red314
461875.6
3683100.5
132595.2
Blue239
1114127.3
133450.1
2056143.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593660100200300400500600314239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.53.6
93.897.5
Auto12.6
Teleop53.0
End34.9
blue by 42.5
143.17.0
146.8139.7
Auto32.3
Teleop64.4
End46.5
Second
1325
#11
95.23.6
86.089.6
Auto13.2
Teleop44.9
End37.1
blue by 32.1
127.37.0
128.5121.5
Auto29.2
Teleop52.5
End45.5
Third
4618
#18
75.63.6
79.983.5
Auto5.2
Teleop36.1
End34.3
red by 25.5
1334
#24
50.17.0
59.552.4
Auto4.9
Teleop32.8
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
45%Rotor oddsMissed17%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed100%Pressure oddsEarned