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Red200
137439.7
132595.2
133450.1
Blue361
467878.9
3015108.8
613569.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1822440100300400500600700800200361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#11
95.21.3
89.690.9
Auto13.2
Teleop44.9
End37.1
blue by 13.6
108.88.1
96.2104.3
Auto19.6
Teleop41.1
End48.1
Second
1334
#24
50.11.3
52.453.7
Auto4.9
Teleop32.8
End12.3
blue by 28.8
4678
#12
78.98.1
68.276.3
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End24.6
Third
1374
#30
39.71.3
38.639.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.0
End10.3
blue by 30.1
6135
#20
69.88.1
59.968.0
Auto4.7
Teleop27.0
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed5%Pressure oddsEarned