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Red254
373950.6
130595.7
1360100.6
Blue316
260990.6
461875.6
1114127.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523200100200400500600700254316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#15
100.60.4
103.8104.1
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End48.7
blue by 26.7
127.31.4
121.5122.8
Auto29.2
Teleop52.5
End45.5
Second
95.70.4
95.796.1
Auto12.5
Teleop43.6
End39.6
red by 5.1
90.61.4
90.291.6
Auto11.9
Teleop46.6
End32.2
Third
3739
#27
50.60.4
48.649.0
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End23.2
blue by 25.0
4618
#18
75.61.4
83.584.9
Auto5.2
Teleop36.1
End34.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed45%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
11%Pressure oddsMissed27%Pressure oddsMissed