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Red211
491790.8
571983.0
137439.7
Blue292
1114127.3
130595.7
634274.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21032304006008001,0001,2001,400211292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#17
90.80.2
93.593.3
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End29.7
blue by 36.5
127.30.0
122.8122.8
Auto29.2
Teleop52.5
End45.5
Second
5719
#14
83.00.2
80.580.3
Auto6.7
Teleop35.9
End40.4
blue by 12.7
95.70.0
96.196.1
Auto12.5
Teleop43.6
End39.6
Third
1374
#30
39.70.2
39.939.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.0
End10.3
blue by 34.5
6342
#26
74.20.0
73.573.5
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End28.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsMissed15%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed95%Pressure oddsMissed