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Red156
493989.2
634274.2
3683100.5
Blue300
1360100.6
491488.4
132595.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327323200250300350156300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.510.3
108.898.6
Auto12.6
Teleop53.0
End34.9
Level
1360
#15
100.60.5
112.3111.8
Auto10.8
Teleop41.0
End48.7
Second
4939
#22
89.210.3
113.1102.8
Auto13.5
Teleop40.5
End35.2
blue by 6.0
1325
#11
95.20.5
101.4100.9
Auto13.2
Teleop44.9
End37.1
Third
6342
#26
74.210.3
88.378.0
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End28.7
blue by 14.2
88.40.5
93.693.1
Auto5.6
Teleop39.1
End43.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
88%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed