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Red110
1325101.4
633183.3
568989.9
Blue145
5885112.9
540858.7
137454.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982290100400500600700800110145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.40.0
101.4101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
blue by 11.5
5885
#12
112.90.0
112.9112.9
Auto10.0
Teleop52.6
End50.3
Second
5689
#21
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto9.9
Teleop40.6
End39.4
red by 31.3
58.70.0
58.758.7
Auto5.4
Teleop37.1
End16.2
Third
6331
#11
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto8.2
Teleop45.4
End29.7
red by 28.6
1374
#19
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto6.2
Teleop29.3
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
18%Rotor odds7%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds