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Red195
653750.4
654488.3
493280.9
Blue200
633183.3
137454.8
5426109.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22626504006008001,0001,2001,400195200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6544
#15
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End44.3
blue by 20.7
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.5
Teleop47.4
End47.1
Second
80.90.0
80.980.9
Auto7.6
Teleop37.6
End35.6
blue by 2.5
6331
#11
83.30.0
83.383.3
Auto8.2
Teleop45.4
End29.7
Third
6537
#14
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto5.6
Teleop34.1
End10.7
blue by 4.4
1374
#19
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto6.2
Teleop29.3
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds8%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds