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Red120
491493.6
1075103.2
653750.4
Blue110
493688.1
493887.1
4814112.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25231105001,0001,500120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.20.0
103.2103.2
Auto13.7
Teleop46.5
End43.0
blue by 9.5
4814
#23
112.70.0
112.7112.7
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
Second
93.60.0
93.693.6
Auto7.3
Teleop44.4
End41.9
red by 5.5
4936
#18
88.10.0
88.188.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.7
End48.5
Third
6537
#14
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto5.6
Teleop34.1
End10.7
blue by 36.7
4938
#16
87.10.0
87.187.1
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End44.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds7%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds