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Red135
654488.3
493688.1
490373.9
Blue145
493280.9
5885112.9
4814112.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25333304006008001,0001,200135145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6544
#15
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End44.3
blue by 24.7
5885
#12
112.90.0
112.9112.9
Auto10.0
Teleop52.6
End50.3
Second
4936
#18
88.10.0
88.188.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.7
End48.5
blue by 24.6
4814
#23
112.70.0
112.7112.7
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
Third
4903
#13
73.90.0
73.973.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End31.9
blue by 7.0
80.90.0
80.980.9
Auto7.6
Teleop37.6
End35.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds53%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds