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Red165
425250.1
592152.9
400199.0
Blue250
503690.6
451978.7
132576.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1492460100200300400165250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.01.1
99.2100.3
Auto8.7
Teleop37.8
End52.6
red by 8.4
90.62.0
86.388.3
Auto13.9
Teleop44.3
End32.3
Second
5921
#30
52.91.1
32.533.6
Auto7.6
Teleop25.5
End19.7
blue by 25.8
4519
#22
78.73.3
66.669.9
Auto13.6
Teleop33.4
End31.6
Third
4252
#20
50.10.7
23.324.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End20.7
blue by 26.1
1325
#16
76.23.3
67.370.6
Auto13.8
Teleop40.0
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed