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Red266
591143.3
507699.5
130596.4
Blue145
639757.4
21670.5
74656.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2571850100300400500266145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.50.7
97.898.5
Auto13.4
Teleop41.4
End44.6
red by 29.0
216
#12
70.50.9
70.970.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End41.9
Second
96.40.7
94.795.4
Auto11.1
Teleop49.2
End36.2
red by 39.0
6397
#16
57.40.9
57.856.9
Auto8.2
Teleop27.1
End22.0
Third
5911
#25
43.30.7
41.642.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End3.9
blue by 12.8
746
#15
56.10.9
56.555.6
Auto6.4
Teleop25.7
End24.0