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Red125
591143.3
107581.5
401542.2
Blue140
124654.8
592146.6
568023.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661350100200300400125140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.53.9
77.873.9
Auto8.6
Teleop31.4
End41.5
red by 26.7
54.80.5
35.536.0
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End19.4
Second
5911
#25
43.33.9
42.238.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.8
End3.9
blue by 3.2
5921
#13
46.60.5
52.953.4
Auto10.0
Teleop31.9
End4.6
Third
4015
#18
42.23.9
33.729.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.5
End2.6
red by 18.9
5680
#27
23.30.8
44.245.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed