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Red281
4939112.5
91925.8
638757.9
Blue285
24475.3
540698.4
124654.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621790100200300400281285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.56.7
88.294.9
Auto14.7
Teleop51.6
End46.2
red by 14.1
5406
#14
98.412.5
75.588.0
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End36.1
Second
57.911.1
39.450.5
Auto5.3
Teleop29.0
End23.6
blue by 17.3
244
#8
75.312.5
55.968.5
Auto8.9
Teleop29.6
End36.8
Third
919
#26
25.86.7
28.435.1
Auto5.3
Teleop25.4
End-4.8
blue by 29.0
54.87.5
36.043.5
Auto5.4
Teleop30.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed