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Red316
614142.2
4039117.6
4939112.5
Blue196
571987.0
638757.9
548342.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2971750100400500600700316196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.61.1
115.3116.5
Auto17.3
Teleop56.2
End44.1
red by 30.5
87.00.3
85.685.9
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End40.5
Second
112.51.1
110.3111.4
Auto14.7
Teleop51.6
End46.2
red by 54.6
57.90.3
56.456.7
Auto5.3
Teleop29.0
End23.6
Third
6141
#23
42.21.1
39.941.1
Auto7.9
Teleop25.2
End9.0
blue by 0.1
5483
#24
42.30.3
40.841.1
Auto4.2
Teleop32.7
End5.4