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Red368
648149.7
2056125.2
1114121.8
Blue180
503267.8
263455.4
509265.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3321720100200300400500368180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.21.4
120.8122.2
Auto16.7
Teleop62.3
End46.2
red by 57.4
5032
#14
67.80.1
66.566.4
Auto6.8
Teleop30.8
End30.2
Second
121.81.4
117.3118.8
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 56.1
5092
#15
65.70.1
64.364.2
Auto8.7
Teleop38.6
End18.3
Third
6481
#18
49.71.4
45.246.7
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End15.6
blue by 5.8
2634
#12
55.40.1
54.154.0
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End25.3