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Red256
542691.9
447677.1
470447.4
Blue185
633054.2
634256.6
4917125.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411590100200300400500256185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.913.3
63.676.9
Auto11.6
Teleop37.9
End42.4
blue by 33.8
125.73.5
80.784.2
Auto9.9
Teleop56.0
End59.8
Second
77.18.0
42.750.7
Auto9.9
Teleop41.3
End25.9
red by 20.5
6342
#25
56.63.5
44.147.6
Auto8.7
Teleop35.0
End12.9
Third
4704
#19
47.413.3
29.943.2
Auto3.5
Teleop28.5
End15.4
blue by 6.8
6330
#20
54.23.5
23.727.2
Auto7.4
Teleop30.1
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed