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Red170
459529.2
503267.8
646167.4
Blue151
477746.1
4917125.7
263455.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271900100300400500170151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#14
67.81.8
44.346.0
Auto6.8
Teleop30.8
End30.2
blue by 57.9
125.72.4
96.193.8
Auto9.9
Teleop56.0
End59.8
Second
6461
#11
67.41.8
49.451.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.6
End31.8
red by 11.9
2634
#12
55.42.4
43.541.1
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End25.3
Third
4595
#21
29.21.8
35.337.1
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End-0.8
blue by 16.9
4777
#17
46.12.4
32.630.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed