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Red239
1114121.8
633054.2
263455.4
Blue190
633162.1
568969.0
477746.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281120200300400239190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.82.5
111.5114.0
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 52.8
5689
#16
69.07.0
52.259.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End29.8
Second
2634
#12
55.44.2
43.948.1
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End25.3
blue by 6.7
6331
#26
62.17.0
38.145.1
Auto4.0
Teleop25.9
End32.2
Third
6330
#20
54.23.9
45.549.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.1
End16.7
red by 8.1
4777
#17
46.17.0
32.239.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed