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Red290
648149.7
2056125.2
1114121.8
Blue255
4917125.7
447677.1
634256.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330266100200300400500290255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.20.1
124.4124.3
Auto16.7
Teleop62.3
End46.2
blue by 0.5
125.70.1
125.8125.7
Auto9.9
Teleop56.0
End59.8
Second
121.80.1
121.0120.9
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 44.7
77.10.1
77.277.1
Auto9.9
Teleop41.3
End25.9
Third
6481
#18
49.70.1
48.948.8
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End15.6
blue by 6.9
6342
#25
56.60.1
56.756.6
Auto8.7
Teleop35.0
End12.9