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Red445
492082.1
5885100.9
5426100.1
Blue246
568989.9
494081.3
591283.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982650100200400500600445246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.91.5
98.6100.1
Auto9.1
Teleop51.3
End40.5
red by 10.9
5689
#17
89.90.2
90.189.9
Auto9.9
Teleop40.6
End39.4
Second
5426
#21
100.11.5
97.899.3
Auto14.3
Teleop46.3
End39.4
red by 16.6
5912
#18
83.50.2
83.783.5
Auto11.1
Teleop35.8
End36.6
Third
4920
#20
82.11.5
79.881.4
Auto8.6
Teleop39.1
End34.4
red by 0.8
81.30.2
81.581.3
Auto6.1
Teleop33.8
End41.5